{
"cells": [
{
"attachments": {},
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Excess deaths due to COVID-19"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 1,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stderr",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"OMP: Info #276: omp_set_nested routine deprecated, please use omp_set_max_active_levels instead.\n",
"/Users/benjamv/mambaforge/envs/CausalPy/lib/python3.13/site-packages/pymc_extras/model/marginal/graph_analysis.py:10: FutureWarning: `pytensor.graph.basic.io_toposort` was moved to `pytensor.graph.traversal.io_toposort`. Calling it from the old location will fail in a future release.\n",
" from pytensor.graph.basic import io_toposort\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"import pandas as pd\n",
"\n",
"import causalpy as cp"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 2,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"%load_ext autoreload\n",
"%autoreload 2\n",
"%config InlineBackend.figure_format = 'retina'\n",
"seed = 42"
]
},
{
"attachments": {},
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Load data"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 3,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/html": [
"\n",
"\n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" \n",
" | \n",
" temp | \n",
" deaths | \n",
" year | \n",
" month | \n",
" t | \n",
" pre | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" | date | \n",
" | \n",
" | \n",
" | \n",
" | \n",
" | \n",
" | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" \n",
" \n",
" | 2006-01-01 | \n",
" 3.8 | \n",
" 49124 | \n",
" 2006 | \n",
" 1 | \n",
" 0 | \n",
" True | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" | 2006-02-01 | \n",
" 3.4 | \n",
" 42664 | \n",
" 2006 | \n",
" 2 | \n",
" 1 | \n",
" True | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" | 2006-03-01 | \n",
" 3.9 | \n",
" 49207 | \n",
" 2006 | \n",
" 3 | \n",
" 2 | \n",
" True | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" | 2006-04-01 | \n",
" 7.4 | \n",
" 40645 | \n",
" 2006 | \n",
" 4 | \n",
" 3 | \n",
" True | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
" | 2006-05-01 | \n",
" 10.7 | \n",
" 42425 | \n",
" 2006 | \n",
" 5 | \n",
" 4 | \n",
" True | \n",
"
\n",
" \n",
"
\n",
"